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    Which of these two proportions is higher: 4 out of 10, or 300 out of 1000? This sounds like a silly question. Obviously 4/10=.4, which is greater than 300/1000=.3.
    But suppose you were a baseball recruiter, trying to decide which of two potential players is a better batter based on how many hits they get. One has achieved 4 hits in 10 chances, the other 300 hits in 1000 chances. While the first player has a higher proportion of hits, it’s not a lot of evidence: a typical player tends to achieve a hit around 27% of the time, and this player’s 4/10 could be due to luck. The second player, on the other hand, has a lot of evidence that he’s an above-average batter.
    • 2020-01-06 02:41:27Z
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